Video Poker Strategy That Turns Odds Into Measured Play

Alex Bennett

Alex Bennett

Video poker strategy is simple: pick the right paytable, then play perfect holds every hand.

If you are searching for how to win video poker, the only repeatable edge is reducing the house edge by choosing high-RTP games and following video poker basic strategy with zero deviations. The best video poker odds come from full-pay versions of Jacks or Better, Deuces Wild, and select bonus variants, but only if you match your strategy chart to the exact paytable.

Video Poker Strategy and How the Game Really Works

Video poker operates on fixed probabilities tied to a standard deck. Your hold choice changes the distribution of outcomes and your expected return.

Video Poker Odds and the 52-Card Deal

Every hand is dealt from a single 52-card deck with no jokers and no carryover between rounds. After the initial five-card deal, players choose which cards to hold before a single redraw finalizes the result.

The probability of completing a royal flush when holding four suited royal cards is 1 in 47, or roughly 2.13 percent. On a full-pay Jacks or Better machine paying 800-for-1 on a max-coin royal, that correct hold carries an expected value of about 17 betting units.

Discarding any of those four cards collapses that expected value to near zero, illustrating how video poker odds respond instantly to decision quality. Published RTP figures, such as 99.54 percent for 9-6 Jacks or Better, assume flawless adherence to video poker basic strategy.

Casino and Provider Variations That Shape Returns

On the Las Vegas Strip, properties like MGM Grand typically spread 8-5 Jacks or Better, trimming RTP to approximately 97.30 percent. Downtown venues such as El Cortez still offer 9-6 versions on select machines, preserving the payout structure required for winning at video poker over sustained play.

As of 2025, paytable availability varies by floor and denomination, so verify the exact machine listing using a current database like VPFree2 before you sit down.

Digital environments amplify these contrasts; in fact, many video poker titles offered alongside games in real money poker rooms publish complete paytables in the lobby, enabling informed selection before a wager is placed.

Some operators within crypto casinos adjust payouts based on denomination or loyalty tier, while providers such as IGT and Scientific Games maintain identical card probabilities across platforms.

Video Poker Strategy Starts With Paytables and Selection

Paytable selection happens before the first hand. Small payout downgrades change expected value fast.

If you want the best video poker odds, your first move is always to verify the paytable before you ever touch the hold buttons.

Why Full-Pay Machines Change Expected Value

Each video poker variant carries multiple paytable versions, often differing by a single payout line.

According to Wizard of Odds, in Jacks or Better, the distinction between a 9-6 and an 8-5 game rests on two hands: a full house and a flush. That change alone reduces RTP from roughly 99.54 percent to about 97.30 percent, assuming flawless play. Over 10,000 hands at five credits per hand, that gap represents hundreds of units in theoretical return.

Research tied to gambling literacy reinforces why these distinctions matter.

Findings published in the National Library of Medicine under “Financial Literacy and Economic Attitudes as Protective Factors Against Pathological Gambling? A Systematic Review” show that players who understand payout structures and probabilities demonstrate lower risk behaviors and improved decision quality over time.

Use this comparison to pick the best video poker odds before you play.

Game
Paytable Shorthand
Optimal RTP
House Edge
Volatility
Best Use Case
Jacks or Better
9/6
99.54%
0.46%
Medium
Best baseline for learning video poker basic strategy with stable swings
Jacks or Better
8/5
97.30%
2.70%
Medium
Avoid unless promos materially offset the extra 2.24% edge gap
Deuces Wild
Full pay (9/5)
100.76%
-0.76%
High
High-swing option for experts using exact strategy charts
Deuces Wild
Short pay (example)
98.91%
1.09%
High
Common downgrade that looks similar on the screen, but costs EV
Double Bonus
10/7
100.17%
-0.17%
High
Rare, high variance, requires a paytable-specific strategy

Online casinos frequently rotate these paytables across denominations, a practice common within live dealer platforms that also offer hybrid electronic poker formats.

Video Poker Tips: How to Win Video Poker

  1. Only play paytables within one percent of full pay for that variant; otherwise, the math overwhelms good decisions.
  2. Use a paytable-matched strategy chart, not a generic chart, because payout structures change hold priorities.
  3. Always bet max coins on games where the royal flush bonus is tied to max bet, because it materially changes long-run return.
  4. Track hands played per session and pre-set a stop point to prevent “speed-up after losses,” which research links to higher risk behavior. 

Video Poker Strategy and Optimal Hand Decisions

Hands are won or lost at the hold decision. Expected value, not instinct, decides what to keep.

Strategy Charts and Expected Value Priority

Optimal play relies on fixed-priority lists, known as strategy charts. These charts rank every possible holding option by expected value based on the game’s paytable.

In Jacks or Better, a low pair often outranks a four-card straight, while in Deuces Wild, holding deuces nearly always overrides made hands due to wild-card potential. These priorities shift because payout structures differ, not because probabilities change.

Chasing a four-card inside straight in that spot drops EV to about 0.54, and repeated over a long session, it turns a high-RTP game into worse real-world results.

Quantifying Decision Errors Across Common Scenarios

The table below shows how common decisions alter expected value on a full-pay Jacks or Better machine.

9/6 Jacks or Better Situation
Correct Hold (by Strategy Chart)
Common Mistake
EV (Correct)
EV (Mistake)
EV Lost Per Hand
Made low pair vs inside straight draw
Hold low pair
Chase inside straight
0.82
0.54
0.28
Four-card royal draw
Hold all 4
Break the draw
~17 units on max-coin royal situations
Near 0
Massive

EV figures reflect full-pay 9/6 Jacks or Better strategy tables and return calculations from the cited reference. This is why how to win at video poker is mostly about repeating correct holds.

Digital platforms, including some offered by no KYC sites, often provide static rules but varying paytables, making preloaded strategy charts essential.

Video Poker Strategy and Bankroll Discipline Over Time

Correct holds do not prevent volatility; denomination, pacing, and limits determine whether you can stay on strategy long enough for the math to matter.

Denomination Selection and Volatility Control

Even on machines offering favorable video poker odds, bankroll swings remain inevitable. A full-pay Deuces Wild game with an RTP above 100 percent still carries high volatility due to the weight of rare premium hands.

Playing five-coin quarters instead of dollars does not change the game’s variance per hand, but it cuts the dollar size of swings by 75 percent because each hand costs $1.25 instead of $5. That adjustment allows strategy for video poker to operate without forcing premature exits during routine downswings.

A numerical illustration clarifies the risk. Using commonly published variance estimates for 9/6 Jacks or Better (about 4.5 units of standard deviation per hand), a 500-hand session can realistically swing plus or minus 100 betting units.

At a $1 denomination, that translates to four figures in movement without any change in decision quality. Selecting an appropriate stake keeps variance proportional to bankroll, aligning expectations with reality rather than hope.

Chasing Losses and Session Stability

Loss chasing consistently undermines otherwise sound play.

Research published through the National Library of Medicine in “Within-session chasing of losses and wins in an online eCasino found that “within-session chasing behavior was associated with increased wager size, faster betting speed, and elevated financial risk exposure.” That pattern holds across electronic table games and video poker alike.

Switching denominations mid-session, altering hold decisions, or accelerating play speed compounds volatility without improving expected return. Consistency preserves expected return; maintaining fixed limits and steady pacing preserves the integrity of decision-making, reinforcing the structure-based approach to winning video poker rather than emotional response.

Putting Video Poker Strategy in Action

If your goal is winning at video poker, the checklist is short: confirm the paytable, use the exact chart for that paytable, then keep denomination and pace fixed so variance does not push you into mistakes.

The only reliable way to “win” is to play close to the game’s published expected return and avoid the decision leaks that quietly turn a 99 percent game into a 96 percent one.

Please play responsibly. 21+, T&Cs apply.